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Afternoon Note

Bouncy Ride

By Karina Hernandez, Senior Research Analyst
1/16/2025 1:22 PM

It is a choppy session and somewhat expected following yesterday’s strong move. The S&P 500 is testing its short-term resistance and its 50-day moving average.

The ten-year treasury yield (TNX) is continuing to trend lower, down 3.6 basis points and approaching the 4.6% level.

Only Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Communication Services (SLC) are in the red. Utilities (XLU) are the frontrunner, up 1.95%.

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing index came in stronger than expected. The strong number was driven by the massive increase in new orders +42.9 vs. -3.6 in December. Notably, inventories increased to 11.7 vs. -3.8, which could be due to tariff uncertainty.

The six-month business conditions index also rose to 46.3 in January from 33.8.

The Philly Fed employment index also shot up by 7 points to 11.9 in January from 4.8, which indicates increased hiring activity.

The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose to 47 in January driven by higher present sales and buyers’ traffic. Builders remain optimistic, but wary of raising mortgage rates and tariffs.


Comments
GREAT show today Charles

Roger Philipp on 1/16/2025 3:51:34 PM
What a great history lesson today. More people should hear what you said today on your show.
Tom Hall, Phoenix, AZ

Tom Hall on 1/17/2025 11:11:43 AM
 

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