Morning Commentary
Given the depth of Thursday's decline, Friday's bounce was uninspiring. Only 36% of the S&P 500 (SPX) traded higher. One problem is the unwinding of leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Leverage feels great on the way up, but can be devastating on the way down, accelerating pullbacks.

Last week, the S&P 500 was down 2.68%, but the average stock was down 1.09%, and 368 constituents outperformed the broad index. But it didn’t feel a lot better.
Tech Bounce
Technology (XLK) dominated the top advancers list, with some of 2026's hot names trying to reignite their individual rallies.
Interestingly, Coherent Corp. (COHR) topped the list, but Lumentum Holdings, Inc. (LITE) and Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) have continued to struggle since announcing their merger. I’m not sure it would make a difference, but I would seriously be considering scratching the whole thing if I were LITE. Some chip names bounced, which is encouraging, but the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) still has a long way to go, and it crashed below the 200-day moving average.


Broad Market
The S&P 500 typically begins to make its post-election ascent at this time, but the artificial intelligence (AI) wild card is complicating that move. The index held right at its 200-day moving average, which could invite buyers, especially if there is an early and persistent bid in the morning.


Valuations
It almost feels useless to discuss valuations anymore, as the “cheapest” stocks remain the most vulnerable, but everything is down substantially, and that has to attract buyers at some point.

Neoclouds to the Rescue?
The AI trade was in trouble before the midterm election results, partly because of the weakness of a key neocloud player: CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV).

CRWV & NBIS in the Batter’s Box
These names have been hammered, but this week there will be two chances to assess their value proposition and, by default, assess the overall upside for the AI trade. These names are not the leaders, but they can offer insight that could fend off the bears.

| Tweet |
| 11/9/2026 7:09 AM | ANSWERS IN THE (NEO) CLOUDS? |
| 11/6/2026 1:40 PM | A Friday Rebound |
| 11/6/2026 9:25 AM | PANIC & CLASSIC CAPITULATION |
| 11/5/2026 12:48 PM | A Tech-Led Pullback |
| 11/5/2026 9:26 AM | CRUDE OIL SWOON SPARKS PANIC BUYING |
| 11/4/2026 1:32 PM | Post-Election Optimism |
| 11/4/2026 9:33 AM | Answering the (AI) Critics |
| 11/3/2026 1:23 PM | An Election Day Split |
| 11/3/2026 9:42 AM | TECH MELTDOWN CONTINUES (SELLING BEGETS SELLING) |
| 11/2/2026 1:57 PM | A Monday Pullback |
| 11/2/2026 9:44 AM | TURNING POINT? |
| 10/30/2026 1:17 PM | A Friday Pullback |
| 10/30/2026 9:33 AM | Tech Tumbles |
| 10/29/2026 1:08 PM | A Split Session |
| 10/29/2026 9:39 AM | WHIRLWIND OF EXCITEMENT |
| 10/28/2026 1:47 PM | Muted Action Ahead of FOMC Decision |
| 10/28/2026 9:30 AM | WARSH BACK AT BAT |
| 10/27/2026 1:46 PM | A Tech-Led Tuesday |
| 10/27/2026 9:45 AM | BRACING FOR MEGA-CAP EARNINGS |
| 10/26/2026 1:39 PM | AI Enthusiasm is Back |
| 10/26/2026 9:44 AM | OPENAl SAVED THE INTERNET |
| 10/23/2026 12:39 PM | Rolling Capitulation |
| 10/23/2026 9:51 AM | A Mixed Session |
| 10/22/2026 1:01 PM | Momentum Takes a Hit |
| 10/22/2026 9:38 AM | STILL – LOTS OF TREPIDATION |
| More commentary archives | |
|
Home |
Products & Services |
Education |
In The Media |
Help |
About Us |
Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | All Rights Reserved.
|