Morning Commentary

I really liked those bucolic sessions, where the market traded higher but not much on the surface, while pockets within the market were going parabolic. Yesterday, the overall market breadth was solid, with more than 60% of the S&P 500, S&P 400, and S&P 600 closing in the green. Market breadth was impressive across the board.
The S&P 500 (SPX) closed at a new high, but the index is still outside the trading channel that began in late 2022 and has a ton of room to the top of that channel. Telecommunication Services led the charge.


Big News Drivers
For most of the session, SanDisk (SNDK) was lapping the rest of the market, then, in the two o'clock hour, news broke that Silver Lake made a bid for Workday (WDAY). Meanwhile, SNDK held an investor conference that blew everyone away.

SNDK Highlights:
I'm surprised the stock wasn't even higher.

Shares of Workday (WDAY) erupted higher, and then trading was halted.

Software (IGPT) names came to life – big time. This will be a major focus today.

Momentum
Momentum (MTUM) continues to try to gain traction. Getting above the 50-day moving average would draw a lot of fence-sitters. Meanwhile, quality names are acting great as well. Right now, there is something for everyone.


Factors

Today’s Session
This week, polls, surveys, and even prediction markets got several elections across the nation completely wrong. There were extenuating circumstances, including turnout and maybe party apparatus putting a finger on the scale in a couple of contests. Still, the main point is human behavior is often very different than actions. I think the stock market gets it right more so than surveys. Consumer sentiment is in free fall (has never recovered from the 2000 peak), but consumer stocks are higher.

This morning retail sales came in below consensus, but even this isn’t a clear picture of spending. Several factors, including Prime Day in June instead of July, sent the number lower. By the way, JP Morgan and Bank of America called for a negative number.
A big jump in clothing and miscellaneous (very discretionary) was noticeable, along with a rare decline in non-store (internet).

| Comments |
| Has "bucolic" replaced "pedestrian"? Ha! Tin Tx TJL in Tx on 8/14/2026 10:18:07 AM |
| OFF TOPIC - tried for three days, left phone number and email address and still can not contact Pete or Jon Najarian. Attended their zoom meetings and was interested in their options program but apparently they do not have the customer support that I expected so I took this as a warning. Sure never experienced anything like this when I have contacted you or your staff Gary on 8/14/2026 11:22:59 AM |
| US stock market is the best LEI polls are skewed by leftist media. U mich consumer sentiment? r u kidding me? do you think a blue state uni would publish anything that gives credit to current admin? Mark Schneeberger on 8/14/2026 12:19:37 PM |
| Tweet |
| 8/14/2026 1:40 PM | Slow Close to the Week |
| 8/14/2026 9:29 AM | SO MUCH FOR DOLDRUMS |
| 8/13/2026 1:33 PM | PPI Results Support Stocks |
| 8/13/2026 9:28 AM | GREEN LIGHT TO RALLY |
| 8/12/2026 1:28 PM | Inflation Steps Aside as the AI Trade Steps Up |
| 8/12/2026 9:24 AM | AI STORY GETS AFTER-HOURS BOOST |
| 8/11/2026 1:18 PM | Choppy Action Ahead of Inflation Data |
| 8/11/2026 7:12 AM | BACKING UP THE TRUCK |
| 8/10/2026 1:19 PM | Sideways Start to the Week |
| 8/10/2026 9:30 AM | PUTTING MONEY TO WORK |
| 8/7/2026 1:26 PM | Shifting The Focus |
| 8/7/2026 9:44 AM | RETURN OF THE MAG SEVEN? |
| 8/6/2026 1:21 PM | Thursday Twist |
| 8/6/2026 9:36 AM | BACK IN THE MUCK |
| 8/5/2026 1:40 PM | Cooling After Morning Highs |
| 8/5/2026 9:29 AM | Something for Everyone |
| 8/4/2026 1:36 PM | Snapback to New Highs |
| 8/4/2026 9:27 AM | FEAR OF MISSING OUT IS BACK |
| 8/3/2026 1:13 PM | Sustaining Momentum |
| 8/3/2026 9:47 AM | Rotation |
| 7/31/2026 2:12 PM | Amazon Carries the Tape |
| 7/31/2026 9:44 AM | TOO SMART FOR HIS OWN BRITCHES |
| 7/30/2026 1:33 PM | All Eyes on Apple and Amazon |
| 7/30/2026 9:39 AM | THE WASHOUT GETS UGLY |
| 7/29/2026 1:13 PM | Warsh Fed on Deck |
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