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Question of the Week

The "official" Santa Claus Rally starts on December 24th. Historically, the last two years were negative, but there has never been a third straight down Santa Claus rally.

Do you think Santa will bring gifts or a lump of coal?
Post your answer below.

Morning Commentary

GETTING READY FOR THE YEAR-END

By Karina Hernandez, Senior Research Analyst
12/22/2025 9:26 AM

The market closed the last full trading week of the year on a positive note, with the S&P 500 (SPX) closing above its 50-day moving average and finishing with modest week-to-date gains. 

A graph showing the stock marketAI-generated content may be incorrect.

Technology (XLK) names extended the late-week rally with solid participation from its major components. Micron (MU) continued its post earnings strength, and storage peers like SanDisk (SNDK) and Western Digital (WDC) advanced. Oracle (ORCL) was another solid performer after headlines that TikTok signed a deal to sell its U.S. unit to a group of investors. 

A green and red pie chartAI-generated content may be incorrect.

Santa Rally on The Way?

The “official” Santa Claus Rally starts on December 24th. Historically, the last two years were negative, but there has never been a third straight down Santa Claus rally. 

A graph showing the growth of santa clausAI-generated content may be incorrect.

Market Sentiment

Equity sentiment, as tracked by Goldman (GS), spiked last week, and reached its highest level in about a year. Readings of +1.0 or higher have historically signaled stretched equity positioning.  

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Today’s Session

Major indices are all looking to open the week higher.

A screenshot of a graphAI-generated content may be incorrect.

Oil is moving higher, following the boarding of a 2nd oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela this weekend.

A screenshot of a graphAI-generated content may be incorrect.

It’s a light week for economic data, except for tomorrow morning.

A screenshot of a computerAI-generated content may be incorrect.


Comments
Our sled has ridden a lot of peaks and valleys this year but I am all in on a Santa Claus rally this year!

Mike Mayone on 12/22/2025 9:32:24 AM
Gifts for those who were diligent and followed the rules.

Clint on 12/22/2025 2:48:25 PM
 

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