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Morning Commentary

RICH FOLKS CARRY THE LOAD

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
7/9/2024 9:51 AM

Yesterday was a tepid session to be sure, as investors braced for an avalanche of data and talking heads.  Then there’s the earnings season, ‘which better be better than good.’

What a nice way to start the week with green across the entire equity spectrum. Most notably, there was strength in small-caps. I know there have been a lot of false starts, but the stealth rebound will happen amid a cloud of disbelief.

Breadth was bullish, with new highs finally exceeding new lows on the NASDAQ Composite.

Market Breadth

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancers

1,530

2,369

Decliners

1,290

1,841

New Highs

105

176

New Lows

34

118

Up Volume

1.29 billion

2.93 billion

Down Volume

992.6 million

1.57 billion

Six sectors were higher, led by Technology (XLK). Still, the most intriguing action occurred in Consumer Discretionary (XLY), which finished unchanged, but had four of the top ten advancers in the entire market.

Tale of Two Consumers

 

Consumer Credit

 

+2.7%

+6.3%

+1.1%

Headline

Revolving

Non-Revolving

Consumer credit increased 2.7% to $11.35 billion from $6.4 billion and against the consensus of $9.0 billion. Americans are charging up those credit cards again.

That brings me back to yesterday’s session. Check out the leaders in Consumer Discretionary. These are places where folks with money shop or enjoy their free time.

People that have cash are spending it, and those that don’t have cash are using their credit cards.

The rally keeps going, but it’s not as smooth as it appears on the chart.

There will be lots of macro events starting today.

Today’s Session

Lots of Wall Street ratings action in Technology including these changes from KeyBank:

 

Semiconductors

 

 

Raised Target

 

Lowered Target

 

NVDA $180

 

 

LSCC

 

MU $165

 

 

ON $85

 

MRVL $95

 

 

AMD $220

 

MPWR $975

 

 

Meanwhile, we are waiting on Jay Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill.


 

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