Morning Commentary
It had to happen at some point, but it was still shocking that yesterday the market closed lower. Overall trends are primarily pointing higher, but now, the Russell 2000 (IWM) sees red arrows in the short-term and mid-term.
The market is stuck in steady optimism with a hint of anxiety.
Not Bearish But Cautious
Bear sentiment continued to ebb, but bullishness didn’t move as investors returned to the neutral zone.
Nvidia Paradox
Eight of eleven sectors finished higher on the S&P 500, but Technology (XLK) offset it yesterday, which took it on the chin.
I’m calling it the Nvidia (NVDA) Paradox.
Large-Cap Still Rules
Large-cap value edged higher, while small-cap growth declined the most.
Fresh Tech
Four Tech names were among the biggest gainers, including oversold household names (Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Salesforce (CRM)).
Today’s Session
Economic data from Europe points to a continued slowdown, which should excite investors looking for the ECB to continue cutting rates.
Global Composite PMI |
June |
May |
EU |
50.8 |
52.2 |
UK |
51.7 |
53.0 |
Germany |
50.6 |
52.4 |
France |
48.2 |
48.9 |
Meanwhile, there is $5.1 trillion of option notional expiring today.
The real test for the market is whether buyers will step up to buy weakness into the close.
Tweet |
1/14/2025 1:14 PM | Rebound Falters |
1/14/2025 9:48 AM | GOOD BOUNCE BACK |
1/13/2025 1:32 PM | Chipping Away |
1/13/2025 9:41 AM | THE GAME HAS BEEN ALTERED |
1/10/2025 1:10 PM | Under Pressure |
1/10/2025 9:41 AM | ALL EYES ON THE JOBS REPORT |
1/8/2025 1:34 PM | Anxiety in the Air |
1/8/2025 9:50 AM | NASDAQ IS A BEEHIVE |
1/7/2025 1:40 PM | Problematic Bond Market |
1/7/2025 9:48 AM | Stocks of The Future |
1/6/2025 1:26 PM | Continuing Friday’s Momentum |
1/6/2025 9:47 AM | LET 2025 BEGIN |
1/3/2025 1:34 PM | Friday Spark |
1/3/2025 9:28 AM | CATCH THAT PIGEON |
1/2/2025 1:10 PM | Bumpy Start |
1/2/2025 9:47 AM | THE NEW YEAR |
12/31/2024 9:45 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
12/30/2024 12:48 PM | Not The Place To Panic |
12/30/2024 9:44 AM | WALTZING INTO 2025 NOT EASY |
12/27/2024 1:01 PM | Santa Needs Eggnog |
12/27/2024 9:49 AM | POST-CHRISTMAS LOVE FOR BROKEN RETAILERS |
12/26/2024 1:43 PM | Holiday Mode |
12/26/2024 10:15 AM | Santa’s Tired |
12/24/2024 10:04 AM | THE MAG SEVEN GIFT KEEPS GIVING |
12/23/2024 1:14 PM | Mixed Monday |
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