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Morning Commentary

SKINNIEST RALLY

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
6/17/2024 9:50 AM

Last Friday saw two higher and eight lower sectors, resulting in the S&P 500 finishing unchanged.

The market finished higher and, at the same time, moved deeper into ‘fear’ because it's falling apart beneath the surface. That isn’t a cause for panic, but this is a unique period, and some things never change. Great companies eventually have great stock prices even if they are starving for oxygen.

A few fresh Technology (XLK) faces joined the party; Adobe (ADBE) and Netflix (NFLX).

What’s just as unique as a few stocks carrying the market is the carnage in other niches.

Breadth was an unmitigated disaster.

Market Breadth

NYSE

NASDAQ

Advancers

703

1,189

Decliners

2,121

3,043

New Highs

39

54

New Lows

92

206

Up Volume

517.66 million

1.85 billion

Down Volume

2.13 billion

2.46 billion

Technical View

According to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the S&P 500 has entered short-term overbought territory. Still, until or unless the index dips below 5,200, the rally holds, even if it's one of the most deceiving rallies.

Today’s Session

The Empire Fed came in better than expected but still in the down channel and there was encouraging news on prices.

The market starts the week with lots of talk of Wall Street embracing the narrow rally but struggling to convince people to load up on stocks that have A) already run up big and B) dismisses the notion of diversification despite decades of saying it was the key to investing success.

It’s tough.

There are tons of significantly undervalued stocks in the market that will work at some point.


Comments
To use a completely unrelated saying (adjusted), "This is a time that tries investors souls!"
It seems the divergence around the 3 pillars are becoming even more extreme in the short-term than what they were before.
At some point, I expect things will come back into balance, but will only take longer?


Terry Dowler on 6/17/2024 10:30:45 AM
 

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