Morning Commentary
The market continues to rise, and yesterday’s Fear & Greed Index moved in the wrong direction. Or perhaps it moved in the right direction based on market breadth and traditional valuation metrics.
Info-Tech (XLK) dominates, while Real Estate (XLRE) continues to react positively to lower rates.
Buying Begets Buying
The nonbeliever’s daily shout-out concerns about the absurdity of the stock market rally and its competition. The rally replies by twisting the knife.
Large-Cap growth remains in a league of its own, but Large-Cap Core is finding more buyers.
Heat Map
Yesterday, an Artificial Intelligence (AI) halo was seen in Utilities (XLU), while lower rates nudged big banks.
The Chips Shift Gears and Move Higher
I don’t usually recommend books, but James Hilton’s “Goodbye, Mr. Chips” is like an idyllic summer day.
VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) stocks moved into a higher orbit, but volume was lighter, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is signally short-term overbought.
Leading the Parade
Advancers were mostly chip stocks, which may explain how Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) got on the list. Today, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) could lead the Tech parade.
But…
I worry about the economy and think the Fed should cut now rather than react too late.
Today’s Session
Import prices were down -0.4% in May after gaining 0.9% in April. This data marks another softer inflation number for May along with PPI and CPI.
Export prices fell -0.6% down from an upwardly revised 0.6% for April and missing consensus of a flat reading. Capital goods, consumer goods, and food prices were higher, while auto export prices were unchanged.
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1/14/2025 1:14 PM | Rebound Falters |
1/14/2025 9:48 AM | GOOD BOUNCE BACK |
1/13/2025 1:32 PM | Chipping Away |
1/13/2025 9:41 AM | THE GAME HAS BEEN ALTERED |
1/10/2025 1:10 PM | Under Pressure |
1/10/2025 9:41 AM | ALL EYES ON THE JOBS REPORT |
1/8/2025 1:34 PM | Anxiety in the Air |
1/8/2025 9:50 AM | NASDAQ IS A BEEHIVE |
1/7/2025 1:40 PM | Problematic Bond Market |
1/7/2025 9:48 AM | Stocks of The Future |
1/6/2025 1:26 PM | Continuing Friday’s Momentum |
1/6/2025 9:47 AM | LET 2025 BEGIN |
1/3/2025 1:34 PM | Friday Spark |
1/3/2025 9:28 AM | CATCH THAT PIGEON |
1/2/2025 1:10 PM | Bumpy Start |
1/2/2025 9:47 AM | THE NEW YEAR |
12/31/2024 9:45 AM | HAPPY NEW YEAR |
12/30/2024 12:48 PM | Not The Place To Panic |
12/30/2024 9:44 AM | WALTZING INTO 2025 NOT EASY |
12/27/2024 1:01 PM | Santa Needs Eggnog |
12/27/2024 9:49 AM | POST-CHRISTMAS LOVE FOR BROKEN RETAILERS |
12/26/2024 1:43 PM | Holiday Mode |
12/26/2024 10:15 AM | Santa’s Tired |
12/24/2024 10:04 AM | THE MAG SEVEN GIFT KEEPS GIVING |
12/23/2024 1:14 PM | Mixed Monday |
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