Morning Commentary
A journey of a million miles begins with the first step. Yesterday, the market put the brakes on its slide, but the internals weren’t great. Only 36% of the names were higher.
Four sectors were lower, led by Consumer Staples (XLP), which looked like someone yelled “fire!” in a crowded theater. That’s the problem with safe havens - the first glimpse of ‘hot’ sees them empty out quickly. In this case, investors returned to the “Mag Seven” names that became de facto safe havens.
Trump Bump
Perhaps President Trump could buy a new Tesla (TSLA) every day. The “Mag Seven” made a monster rebound, with Apple (AAPL) conspicuously missing.
Better Breadth
Market breadth was encouraging, but there is a long way to go. The big buy signal comes when new highs eclipse new lows.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
1,116 |
2,073 |
Decliners |
1,646 |
2,279 |
New Highs |
16 |
40 |
New Lows |
157 |
421 |
Up Volume |
2.81 billion |
5.36 billion |
Down Volume |
3.28 billion |
3.75 billion |
Factors were spotty, reflecting an investor’s appetite to get back in the high fliers, as well as for slower quality names.
Today’s Session
The Producer price index (PPI) was better than expected, but immediately, the financial media told everyone to ignore the numbers.
If it were hotter, the news would have been devastating.
A new narrative emerging is the death of the buy the dip trade. Interestingly, the article in Bloomberg used charts that underscore the fact there have been larger dips over the past decade.
Comments |
In all the talk about the economic impact of tariffs, I'm wondering if they might be missing something on the inflation side. While certain needed items will become higher priced. Will it not force the consumer in other key areas around the contributing inflation indexed weighted areas (Outside food and energy, which are not included.) to pull back spending elsewhere as well around imported items? Flipping the supply/demand script in some areas around what increases are able to be passed on for non-essentials. Specifically, around the higher end consumers in the top 3rd to above Half, who haven't felt the inflation pain, everyone else has in recent years. While it might drive more pain and concerns in the short-term across the board, it might also result in the opposite (or a neutral) projected effect regarding inflation than what it is made out to be. Add to that whatever can be trimmed from government deficit spending might leave the Fed-R more openings down the road around rate cuts which would be a plus for the majority carrying debt. It gets complicated around how to fix the inflation factor around housing. Terry Dowler on 3/13/2025 9:19:35 AM |
Tweet |
3/13/2025 1:00 PM | Fear Narrative Dominating |
3/13/2025 9:27 AM | MAG SEVEN EMERGE |
3/12/2025 1:32 PM | Nasdaq Rebounds |
3/12/2025 9:55 AM | SOME TIRE KICKING AMID RUN-OF-THE-MILL PULLBACK |
3/11/2025 12:45 PM | Canada’s Dangerous Game |
3/11/2025 9:58 AM | FLIPPING THE SCRIPT |
3/10/2025 1:18 PM | Wild Ride Continues |
3/10/2025 9:47 AM | Straight Talk |
3/7/2025 1:22 PM | Springboard |
3/7/2025 9:38 AM | TRUMP WON'T TAKE THE BAIT |
3/6/2025 1:12 PM | Coiled Spring |
3/6/2025 10:02 AM | THE NEED FOR SPEED |
3/5/2025 1:24 PM | Market Weighs More Tariff News |
3/5/2025 9:54 AM | EPIC SHOWDOWN |
3/4/2025 1:09 PM | Media Dispute |
3/4/2025 9:43 AM | FIRE ALARM |
3/3/2025 1:14 PM | Markets & Moods |
3/3/2025 9:45 AM | A MOST IMPRESSIVE REVERSAL |
2/28/2025 1:48 PM | Mixed Day |
2/28/2025 9:57 AM | FEAR FACTOR IN OVERDRIVE |
2/27/2025 12:56 PM | Do Not Get Shaken Out |
2/27/2025 9:48 AM | IS THE MARKET IN BULLY MODE? |
2/26/2025 1:30 PM | Nvidia Takes The Center Stage |
2/26/2025 9:57 AM | IT'S ALL ON NVDA |
2/25/2025 1:02 PM | Consumer Fears |
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