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Morning Commentary

POWELL NEEDS A WEAK JOBS REPORT

By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
12/6/2024 9:50 AM

Yesterday was a tough session. Four sectors finished higher, but they were down more than 1%.  

Still, large-caps held up well, as small-caps took it on the chin across the board. I think it’s about the Fed and interest rates.

Consumer Spending

Consumers are still spending on airlines, and apparently, Jack Daniel’s (BF.B) is back, although it never really went away for most.

The Atlanta Fed Gross Domestic Product (GDP) now stands at 3.3% for the fourth quarter. It’s not at the level that says it’s an emergency to the Federal Reserve, but Powell & Company have signaled greater concern about the labor market than inflation.

Today’s Session

The jobs report came about as expected by the whisper numbers. Still, there are enough issues, including a sharp decline in participation and those unemployed 27 weeks or longer, up 53,000 in a month and to 1.66 million from 1.22 million a year ago.

People have a hard time finding jobs once they are fired or quit.

The December rate cut is still on.

Perhaps the biggest story is that the reaction to earnings continues to be very positive, coupled with bottom fishing. Former darlings such as Ulta Beauty (ULTA)and Lululemon Athletica (LULU) were soaring ahead of the open.


Comments
Now that the jobs numbers are in as an initial report, and subject to future revisions.
I honestly don't get how, based on a subset of stat data gets all the attention. There is much to be desired on how they come up with the numbers.

Terry Dowler on 12/6/2024 9:38:34 AM
I took Analysis for Decision Making (400 level stat) to get my Econ degree at the big blue nation of University of Kentucky. When we entered the classroom the first day, written on a big white board was; There are three kinds of lies; lies, damn lies and statistics. Mark Twain

Tom Hall on 12/7/2024 3:09:26 PM
 

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