Morning Commentary
The market limped into the weekend, with investors retreating into traditional defensive sectors and Financials (XLF), which got the benefit of the doubt after the election.
Meanwhile, large-cap growth continued its rugged retreat, although there were few places to hide.
Key Technical Levels
The S&P 500 (SPX) trades in a solid upward channel with crucial support at the 50-day moving average.
If the index could not hold, it would be vulnerable to $5411, but it's hard to see that happening.
I’m spying on the Volatility Index (VIX) to signal increased ‘fear’ as the emotional roller coaster leads to huge individual stock moves and greater overall volatility.
Geopolitical Heat
The war is heating up as North Korean troops have joined Russia’s most intense assaults in months, and now President Biden has given Ukraine the okay to use U.S. weapons more aggressively.
There will be lots of Fed speak this week, and Nvidia (NVDA) earnings mean this could be a wild week.
Today’s Session
There is encouraging action before the opening bell in large cap tech and momentum names. Last week’s decline sparked several calls for the market to go much lower, with a couple of professional observers making comparisons to 1929.
But the US market continues to be the best even in down weeks.
The US stock market has outperformed the rest of the world for 74 consecutive weeks.
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11/20/2024 1:11 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
11/20/2024 9:50 AM | GENERALS TO THE RESCUE |
11/19/2024 1:30 PM | Shaken Off Fears |
11/19/2024 9:37 AM | TERRA FIRMA |
11/18/2024 12:57 PM | Animal Spirits |
11/18/2024 9:35 AM | FAST MOVING DEVELOPMENTS & EMOTIONS |
11/15/2024 1:12 PM | Continued Pressure |
11/15/2024 9:43 AM | CERTAIN CUTS (TRUMP ADMIN) & UNCERTAIN CUTS (POWELL) TRIP RALLY |
11/14/2024 1:38 PM | Muted |
11/14/2024 9:57 AM | Just Win |
11/13/2024 1:21 PM | Rate Cut Bets |
11/13/2024 10:01 AM | RENEWED HOPE FOR PEACE & STRENGTH |
11/12/2024 1:33 PM | Profit Taking Tuesday |
11/12/2024 9:47 AM | FLAME ON |
11/11/2024 1:07 PM | Tired Rally |
11/11/2024 9:49 AM | The Markets Are Pumped |
11/8/2024 1:04 PM | Stellar Week |
11/8/2024 9:47 AM | POWELL GETS TOUGH (WITH TRUMP, NOT INFLATION) |
11/7/2024 12:57 PM | Rate Decision |
11/7/2024 9:55 AM | THE SWAGGER IS BACK |
11/6/2024 1:25 PM | Trump Trade Bonanza |
11/6/2024 9:47 AM | Election Rally |
11/5/2024 12:54 PM | Holding the Script |
11/5/2024 9:50 AM | VOTE, AMERICA |
11/4/2024 1:32 PM | Election Fear |
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