Morning Commentary

The world watched in horror, and the stock market recoiled as missiles rained on Israel yesterday. The great news is Israel’s Iron Dome held. I can only hope the message to Iran’s terror proxies is the Mullahs are not as powerful as thought, and maybe it's time to consider rejoining humanity.

Tough Sledding
Three of the eleven sectors finished higher.

The glaring red squares stand out not just for their size but also for the session. Investors are losing confidence in Technology (XLK) and the Artificial Intelligence (AI) story. These are the early days of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Stocks can move lower, even when the value proposition is as impressive as the AI story, but they won’t stay down for long.

Recession Watch
The JOLTs report saw a bump in job openings, but what stands out is plugging hires and quits rates, which correlate with past recessions.


Today’s Session
The ADP Payroll Report bounced, coming in above the consensus of 120,000. Interestingly, the gap between stayers and leavers has sunk considerably.


We are watching for Technology names to hold as all the action continues in Chinese stocks. Particularly in Chinese Technology names.
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| 12/16/2025 9:41 AM | JOBS DATA ARRIVES (FINALLY!) |
| 12/15/2025 1:27 PM | Choppy Action |
| 12/15/2025 9:38 AM | LOOKING FOR A NUDGE |
| 12/12/2025 1:29 PM | Friday Fury |
| 12/12/2025 9:45 AM | DO YOU HEAR WHAT I HEAR? |
| 12/11/2025 1:41 PM | Buyers Emerged |
| 12/11/2025 9:34 AM | THE GRINCH WHO SAVED CHRISTMAS |
| 12/10/2025 1:30 PM | The Street Awaits Fed’s Decision |
| 12/10/2025 9:41 AM | POWELL TAKES CENTER STAGE |
| 12/9/2025 1:27 PM | Fed on Deck |
| 12/9/2025 9:31 AM | NVDA GETS THE GREEN LIGHT |
| 12/8/2025 1:35 PM | Fed Week Jitters |
| 12/8/2025 9:41 AM | HIGH BETA GOES HIGHER |
| 12/5/2025 1:31 PM | PCE Inflation Cools |
| 12/5/2025 9:41 AM | THEME STOCKS LOOK FOR SECOND 2025 ACT |
| 12/4/2025 1:35 PM | Muted Action |
| 12/4/2025 9:43 AM | UPWARD BIAS ON HOPES FOR FRIENDLY FED |
| 12/3/2025 1:29 PM | Recovering from Early Drop |
| 12/3/2025 9:43 AM | TRYPTOPHANE KICKS IN LATE |
| 12/2/2025 1:31 PM | Intraday Bounce |
| 12/2/2025 9:41 AM | THE STREAK IS LONG IN THE TOOTH |
| 12/1/2025 1:30 PM | Markets Start on a Softer Note |
| 12/1/2025 9:38 AM | V FOR VICTORY |
| 11/28/2025 9:14 AM | THE MOST WONDERFUL TIME OF THE YEAR |
| 11/26/2025 1:15 PM | Action To Be Thankful For |
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