Morning Commentary
Wow, yesterday was an extraordinary session. I wasn’t sure why the market stumbled out of the gate, but it was clear from the early part of trading that Technology (XLK) stocks had a bid, but the rest of the market, not so much.
Bullish Engulfing Pattern
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/outsidereversal.asp
The S&P 500 tumbled below yesterday’s intra-day low and closed about yesterday's intra-day high. The last time this happened was in June and the market took off like a rocket afterward.
Panic Buying
Another way to put the session in perspective is a one-day chart. We are seeing this more often, copious amounts of buying into the close. There are lots of would-be buyers on the sidelines champing at the bit. They don’t want to pick the bottom per se, but they don’t want to miss too much of the next bounce.
Market Breadth
Market breadth was bullish, but what stands out is up volume to down volume in the NASDAQ Composite.
It was all about Technology.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
1,581 |
2,345 |
Decliners |
1,175 |
1,881 |
New Highs |
178 |
139 |
New Lows |
99 |
143 |
Up Volume |
2.32 billion |
4.37 billion |
Down Volume |
1.45 billion |
1.73 billion |
Chips Bounce
The chip trade, including the power angle, dominated yesterday’s session (solar stocks bounced post-debate) after Nvidia (NVDA) blew them away at a Goldman Sachs Conference.
Tech Sector
The XLK has held at the 200-day moving average but closed at its 50-day moving average. The volume wasn't as impressive as the move because the Artificial Intelligence (AI) idea is not lifting all boats and might be sinking Software as a Service (SaaS) and other niches in the software spectrum.
Fed Watch
Sticky inflation, which continues to erode household purchasing power, might mean a 25-basis points (bps) cut instead of 50-bps, but those same households are not getting any help from higher rates.
Today’s session
PPI for August year-to-year mostly came in as expected, but core was +0.3% m/m from July while the Street was looking for +0.2%.
Services powered final demand.
The market seems unsure as the release took some scratch out of the preopening action.
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10/17/2025 1:43 PM | Friday Zig Zag |
10/17/2025 9:51 AM | They Warned Us About Everything Else |
10/16/2025 1:33 PM | Another Intraday Reversal |
10/16/2025 9:30 AM | ENCOURAGING BUT NEED MORE |
10/15/2025 1:23 PM | Intraday Weakness |
10/15/2025 9:53 AM | STRONG “DOWN” DAY |
10/14/2025 1:27 PM | Intraday Recovery |
10/14/2025 9:45 AM | HO, HO, HO |
10/13/2025 1:42 PM | Fears Eased |
10/13/2025 9:49 AM | ROUGH BUT NOT HELLISH |
10/10/2025 1:48 PM | Chinese Trade Negotiations Reignite |
10/10/2025 10:05 AM | BIRTHDAY BREAK |
10/9/2025 1:25 PM | Shutdown Continues |
10/9/2025 9:53 AM | DOOM PORN DOESN’T DISTRACT INVESTORS |
10/8/2025 1:14 PM | FOMC Minutes in Focus |
10/8/2025 9:45 AM | DIFFERENT TYPES OF BOTTOM FISHING |
10/7/2025 1:34 PM | Taking a Breather |
10/7/2025 9:55 AM | LOTS OF CHASING BUT SOME BOTTOM FISHING TOO |
10/6/2025 1:36 PM | AMD deal powers Semiconductors |
10/6/2025 9:42 AM | ROTATION HAS BEGUN |
10/3/2025 1:30 PM | Midday Air Pocket |
10/3/2025 9:33 AM | MUSCLE MEMORY & AI FRENZY |
10/2/2025 1:34 PM | Searching for Direction |
10/2/2025 9:47 AM | A HEALTHY ROTATION |
10/1/2025 1:29 PM | Shutdown Resolve |
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