Morning Commentary
It reminds me of the Frank Sinatra classic “Luck Be a Lady,” except it is “Momentum Be a Lady.”
Technology (XLK) saved a session that could have gone bad after bad news from the banking sector. When the dust settled yesterday, advancers and decliners were neck and neck, and there were more 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) than new lows. The NASDAQ up volume dominated down volume as investors embraced those names that brought them to the dance.
Market Breadth |
NYSE |
NASDAQ |
Advancers |
1,381 |
2,048 |
Decliners |
1,412 |
2,132 |
New Highs |
211 |
125 |
New Lows |
117 |
168 |
Up Volume |
1.07 billion |
2.50 billion |
Down Volume |
1.84 billion |
1.69 billion |
Sore Spots
Here comes Tech, but those two red spots are worrisome; big banks and oil drillers. We covered banks in yesterday’s Afternoon Note, but that story is just unfolding.
Oil Dries Up
Oil companies got hit hard as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) failed to hold critical support. This is not a great sign, as oil is a proxy for the broad economy.
Down Dollar
The U.S. Dollar (DXY) continues to find support around the same level, but how long can it hold?
The market is back in the ‘fear’ zone, even though it was up this week. The internals and other developments give credence to enhanced anxiety.
Never Forget
My goodness, time flies. It's been twenty-three years since that horrific day. Not only does the memory of 9/11 stay with us, but so does the carnage. More first responders have died since the attack than on that fateful day.
Freedom isn’t free.
Today’s Session
This morning the August CPI report came in higher-than-expected on month-to-month basis for Core CPI. The news probably puts to bed the possibility of a 50-bps rate cut.
Lots of intrigue among the categories with the biggest increases including motor vehicle insurance which stands out big time, as well as tobacco which is making a comeback.
But the red flag continues to be housing and rent. This data was supposed to go lower a long time ago. On motor vehicle repair, my truck is in the shop and they want a lot of money to fix stuff that shouldn’t be broken.
The stickiness of inflation is still an issue for many economists, but high rates are doing more harm to middle and lower income households.
Nobody wants to talk about it, but we should be aware of the risk of stagflation.
Comments |
I guess used cars are down because no one wants to buy something that's expensive to fix! Or insure. Charles Lucente on 9/11/2024 10:19:32 AM |
Touché! Charles Payne on 9/11/2024 10:24:02 AM |
We drop bombs on people for 20 plus years, then turn around and hold the door open for them. What could go wrong? Michael Supplee on 9/11/2024 11:47:47 AM |
Under Today's Session, it says, "This morning the August CPI report came in higher-than-expected on month-to-month basis for Core CPI. The news probably puts to bed the possibility of a 50-bps rate hike." Shouldn't it say, "rate cut"…? Wade on 9/11/2024 7:17:08 PM |
Thank you, yes it should say rate cut. We have updated it. John Jean on 9/11/2024 8:20:09 PM |
Tweet |
11/20/2024 1:11 PM | All Eyes on Nvidia |
11/20/2024 9:50 AM | GENERALS TO THE RESCUE |
11/19/2024 1:30 PM | Shaken Off Fears |
11/19/2024 9:37 AM | TERRA FIRMA |
11/18/2024 12:57 PM | Animal Spirits |
11/18/2024 9:35 AM | FAST MOVING DEVELOPMENTS & EMOTIONS |
11/15/2024 1:12 PM | Continued Pressure |
11/15/2024 9:43 AM | CERTAIN CUTS (TRUMP ADMIN) & UNCERTAIN CUTS (POWELL) TRIP RALLY |
11/14/2024 1:38 PM | Muted |
11/14/2024 9:57 AM | Just Win |
11/13/2024 1:21 PM | Rate Cut Bets |
11/13/2024 10:01 AM | RENEWED HOPE FOR PEACE & STRENGTH |
11/12/2024 1:33 PM | Profit Taking Tuesday |
11/12/2024 9:47 AM | FLAME ON |
11/11/2024 1:07 PM | Tired Rally |
11/11/2024 9:49 AM | The Markets Are Pumped |
11/8/2024 1:04 PM | Stellar Week |
11/8/2024 9:47 AM | POWELL GETS TOUGH (WITH TRUMP, NOT INFLATION) |
11/7/2024 12:57 PM | Rate Decision |
11/7/2024 9:55 AM | THE SWAGGER IS BACK |
11/6/2024 1:25 PM | Trump Trade Bonanza |
11/6/2024 9:47 AM | Election Rally |
11/5/2024 12:54 PM | Holding the Script |
11/5/2024 9:50 AM | VOTE, AMERICA |
11/4/2024 1:32 PM | Election Fear |
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