Afternoon Note
The wildcard of today's session, and the reason stocks opened higher and bond yields lower, is the fourth quarter price deflator data, which swooned to 1.5%.
If Powell & Co were looking for cover to cut sooner rather than later this would be it.
The news moved the needle a bit for March, but the street still sees the first rate cut in May.
This morning, we learned initial jobless claims rose 214,000 against consensus 200,000 and the prior week’s read of 189,000.
There is new research suggesting the reason initial jobless claims have been so low is it doesn't replace enough of lost wages, and more people are opting for the gig economy and freelancing.
Remember, yesterday's close. It wasn't pretty and it feels like we are setting up for a repeat.
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5/17/2024 1:45 PM | Near Record Highs |
5/17/2024 9:31 AM | DIFFERENT VALUATION METRICS |
5/16/2024 1:23 PM | Dow 40,000 |
5/16/2024 9:40 AM | AUTOPILOT FEELS SO GOOD |
5/15/2024 1:53 PM | New Hope |
5/15/2024 9:41 AM | CHAMPING AT THE BIT (INVESTORS BEGINNING TO CHASE) |
5/14/2024 1:24 PM | Small Moves |
5/14/2024 9:22 AM | Marking Time |
5/13/2024 1:37 PM | Snuffed Out |
5/13/2024 9:37 AM | BRACING FOR MORE INFLATION DATA |
5/10/2024 1:23 PM | Cold Water |
5/10/2024 9:58 AM | IN TUNE |
5/9/2024 1:09 PM | Disconnect |
5/9/2024 9:39 AM | THE SEVENTH (TRADING) DAY OF MAY |
5/8/2024 1:49 PM | Mixed Note |
5/8/2024 9:37 AM | CHANGING NARRATIVES |
5/7/2024 1:50 PM | Building Gains |
5/7/2024 9:36 AM | HOPING MICKEY SAVES THE DAY |
5/6/2024 1:59 PM | Rate Cut Hopes |
5/6/2024 9:17 AM | LOOKING FOR MOMO TO KICK BACK IN |
5/3/2024 1:41 PM | Cheering the News |
5/3/2024 7:33 AM | TIM COOKS THE (RECORD) BOOKS |
5/2/2024 1:54 PM | Holding Up |
5/2/2024 9:41 AM | COOL HAND POWELL |
5/1/2024 1:22 PM | Which Powell? |
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