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Afternoon Note

The Manic - Depressive Nation of University of Michigan
By Charles Payne, CEO & Principal Analyst
3/17/2017 2:02 PM

The market continues to look very sloppy following the release of lots of economic data, most of which was good. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index reported an increase in March of 97.6, the highest since 2000.  

The increase in Consumer confidence in March shows that Americans are more satisfied with the current state of their finances and the economy than in any time in 16 years.

United States Consumer Sentiment

Despite this strong data, U.S. industrial production remains weak, unchanged in February due to warm weather, and up only 0.3% year over year.  Factory output increased for a sixth month in February, showing a  0.5% increase at the nation’s factories and 2.7% in mining as both sectors were impacted by an oil price rebound last year.

Capacity utilization declined to 75.4% from 75.5% in January, and is below its long-term average. However, the rate for the manufacturing sector had the highest reading in six months, from 75.3% to 75.6%, and increased 0.8% over the prior year period.

The Leading Economic Index (LEI) increased another 0.6% in February (same increase in December and January).  The index is at the best level in more than ten years after 6 straight monthly gains. 

Leaders:

  • Interest Rates up .19%
  • ISM New Orders Index .20%
  • Average Weekly claims,  up .20%

Laggards:

  • Building Permits down .19%

Oil is down again today.  The latest Baker Hughes report showed an increase of 14 U.S oil rigs, the 9th consecutive week of gains. This takes the rig count to 631, up 244 from this time last year.

Have a great weekend!


Comments
Charles Payne and Lt. Colonel Allen West! On air, side by side. Discussion. As good as it gets! My confidence is soaring in all things economic. Trump Nation roles on! S.

Steve Seltzner on 3/18/2017 11:44:45 AM
Hi Charles, do you think Steve will get Freddie mac and may back as private industry?
If so that would be a good thing?


Elizabeth Medley on 3/20/2017 8:07:20 AM
 

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